SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.07%) and 4-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
82.44% ( 0.07) | 11.53% ( -0.04) | 6.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0.11) | 29.4% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.13) | 50.47% ( -0.13) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.74% ( 0.03) | 5.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.25% ( 0.1) | 20.75% ( -0.09) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.56% ( 0) | 49.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.74% ( 0) | 84.26% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% 6-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 82.43% | 1-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 11.53% | 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 6.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
