SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
23% ( -0.38) | 27.14% ( -0.19) | 49.86% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.36) | 60.13% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( 0.27) | 80.34% ( -0.27) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.17) | 42.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( -0.15) | 78.51% ( 0.15) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 0.43) | 24.3% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( 0.6) | 58.68% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.12% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 14.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.85% |
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