Cagliari seemingly cannot defend, while Genoa rarely score away from home; yet Sunday's game could see either side throw everything at gaining another three points. Emboldened by back-to-back wins, both teams are set to find the net in an open score draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
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