Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.03) 
