SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
40.48% ( -0.04) | 28.88% ( -0.02) | 30.63% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% ( 0.08) | 62.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% ( 0.06) | 81.76% ( -0.06) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.01) | 30.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( 0.02) | 66.17% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.09) | 36.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.65% ( 0.09) | 73.35% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.63% |
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