SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
32.91% ( 0.11) | 27.99% ( -0.14) | 39.1% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( 0.53) | 58.49% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( 0.41) | 79.08% ( -0.41) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( 0.35) | 33.03% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( 0.39) | 69.61% ( -0.39) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( 0.28) | 29.11% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( 0.34) | 65.03% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
