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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 28
Oct 20, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 3
Shandong


Yan (37'), Mincheng (49')
Li (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Crysan (27'), Moises (37' pen.), Chen (45+4')
Ke (62'), Pato (65'), Zheng (79')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shenzhen 0-1 Changchun
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
13.69% (0.074 0.07) 19.72% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 66.59% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.56% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.93% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.082000000000001 0.08)44.04% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (0.07 0.07)80.16% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)12.47% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)38.43% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 13.69%
    Shandong Taishan 66.58%
    Draw 19.72%
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.84% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.69%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 19.72%
0-2 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.77% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 66.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-1 Changchun
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Friday, September 22 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Changchun
Saturday, August 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 3-1 Cangzhou
Sunday, August 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Saturday, August 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 2-1 Wuhan TT
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Dalian Pro 0-0 Shandong
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Kaya 1-3 Shandong
Tuesday, September 19 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 4-2 Qingdao Jonoon
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-2 Shandong
Friday, August 25 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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