SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
28.21% ( -5.05) | 23.31% ( 0.55) | 48.47% ( 4.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.29% ( -5.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% ( -5.36) | 40.85% ( 5.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.76% ( -5.7) | 63.24% ( 5.69) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -5.72) | 27.29% ( 5.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( -8.06) | 62.73% ( 8.05) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.36) | 17.07% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( -0.64) | 47.25% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.64) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.87)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.81)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.51)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.65)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.05)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.5)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.6) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1.78)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 1.51)1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.85)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.43)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.21)Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
