SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.5%) and 0-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester City |
27.43% ( -0.04) | 21.65% ( -0.01) | 50.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 65.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.02) | 33.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.02) | 55.25% ( -0.02) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -0.03) | 58.27% ( 0.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( 0.02) | 13.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.41% ( 0.04) | 40.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Copenhagen | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.43% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 50.92% |
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