SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
39.18% ( 0.65) | 26.07% ( 0.27) | 34.74% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( -1.3) | 50.62% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( -1.15) | 72.53% ( 1.15) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.24) | 25.35% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( -0.33) | 60.14% ( 0.33) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -1.18) | 27.9% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -1.53) | 63.51% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.74% |
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