Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
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