Considering that Fortaleza have had a much better start to the season and have lost just once in the Brasileiro this season, they could prove too strong for relegation threatened Cuiaba.
However, neither side have been particularly prolific in front of goal this campaign having only scored six goals each, so the game on Sunday could be a closely fought contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.07) 
