Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.23) 
