SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.28%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
35.28% ( 0.09) | 29.52% ( 0.03) | 35.2% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.45% ( -0.09) | 63.55% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.14% ( -0.07) | 82.86% ( 0.07) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.01) | 34.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( 0.01) | 70.75% ( -0.01) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.13) | 34.11% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( -0.14) | 70.8% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.2% |
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