SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.18% ( -1.68) | 23.79% ( 0.22) | 33.03% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( -0.46) | 40.66% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% ( -0.48) | 63.04% ( 0.48) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.89) | 19.12% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.24% ( -1.49) | 50.76% ( 1.49) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( 0.64) | 24.16% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( 0.9) | 58.47% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% |
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