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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
CL

Defensor
3 - 1
Cerro Largo

Bautista Viacava Caviglia (10'), Rivero (16'), Mansilla (45+1')
Soria (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Silveira (36' pen.)
Brasil (12'), Silveira (48'), Correa (54'), Santilli (74'), Furtado (79'), Estol (86'), Acosta (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
44.6% (-0.605 -0.61) 28.25% (0.366 0.37) 27.14% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.805 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75% (-1.098 -1.1)61.25% (1.1 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (-0.826 -0.83)81.18% (0.828 0.83)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.824 -0.82)27.4% (0.826 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-1.081 -1.08)62.87% (1.083 1.08)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.41 -0.41)38.93% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.388 -0.39)75.65% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 44.59%
    Cerro Largo 27.14%
    Draw 28.24%
Defensor SportingDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.66% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 27.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, May 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Wanderers
Monday, April 29 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 2-1 Defensor
Wednesday, April 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Defensor
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division


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