Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.