SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
27.32% ( 0.02) | 25.8% ( 0) | 46.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% | 52.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0) | 73.96% ( 0) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.02) | 33.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( 0.02) | 70.56% ( -0.02) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -0.01) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.02) | 55.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)Other @ 1% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.87% |
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