SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
69.31% ( -0.01) | 16.28% ( 0.01) | 14.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.96% ( -0.02) | 26.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.14% ( -0) | 6.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.76% ( -0.02) | 25.24% ( 0.02) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0) | 30.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( -0) | 67.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.44% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 69.31% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.28% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 14.41% |
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