Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
