SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
49.61% ( 0.95) | 23.62% ( -0.4) | 26.77% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( 1.39) | 43.35% ( -1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( 1.35) | 65.75% ( -1.35) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% ( 0.9) | 17.59% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% ( 1.54) | 48.16% ( -1.55) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.31) | 29.63% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( 0.38) | 65.67% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.77% |
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