Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.27) 
0.39) 
