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EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
BL

Newcastle
3 - 1
Brentford

Tonali (9', 43'), Schar (69')
Schar (17'), Guimaraes (38'), Livramento (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wissa (90+1')
Collins (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
61.65%19.53% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72%34.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.27% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 61.65%
    Brentford 18.82%
    Draw 19.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-0 @ 3.48%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.57%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.65%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.53%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-2 Newcastle
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 West Ham
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-3 Newcastle
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-2 Newcastle
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-1 Leicester
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Premier League


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