SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
| 61.65% | 19.53% ( 0) | 18.82% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.43% ( -0) | 33.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.62% ( -0) | 55.38% ( 0) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% | 10.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.72% | 34.28% ( 0) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0) | 30.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0) | 67.27% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-2 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-2 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 1.84% 5-0 @ 1.57% 5-2 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.27% Total : 61.65% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-1 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 18.82% |
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