Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
59.11% ( 0.03) | 20.88% ( -0.02) | 20.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.87% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% ( 0.05) | 38.26% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( 0.06) | 60.54% ( -0.05) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.33% ( 0.02) | 12.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.15% ( 0.05) | 38.85% ( -0.05) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( 0.02) | 32.59% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( 0.02) | 69.13% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.01% |
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