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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Sesko (11', 15'), Openda (46'), Simons (57')
Seiwald (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Onyeka (78'), Matsima (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Augsburg

While Leipzig have been poor in front of goal this season, it would be surprising if they failed to score for a third consecutive league match. Considering Augsburg's worrying top-flight record recently, they could struggle to get back into the game if the hosts were to score first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
59.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 20.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.01% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.87% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.26% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.055000000000007 0.06)60.54% (-0.055 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.85% (-0.052 -0.05)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 59.11%
    Augsburg 20.01%
    Draw 20.88%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Viktoria Berlin 1-4 Augsburg
Sunday, August 18 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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