Real Sociedad would have taken confidence from Kubo's late winner in Saturday's clash with Espanyol, and we think that they will build upon that result by claiming a win against an Alaves side they have beaten in three of the last five competitive meetings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
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