SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a West Ham United win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Manchester City |
17.51% ( 0.09) | 19.51% ( 0.02) | 62.97% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.17% ( 0.08) | 35.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.09% ( 0.09) | 57.91% ( -0.09) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.16) | 33.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( 0.17) | 70.37% ( -0.16) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( -0) | 10.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.99% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 17.51% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 62.97% |
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