Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
0.46) 
-0.69) 
