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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
LL

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Liverpool

Watkins (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Salah (5'), van Dijk (37'), Bajcetic (81')

Preview: Aston Villa vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Aston Villa vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

Aiming to stretch their Premier League winning run to three games under Unai Emery, Aston Villa resume top-flight duties at home to Liverpool on Boxing Day.

Meanwhile, the Reds have already returned to competitive action since the World Cup break, as their EFL Cup defence ended with a 3-2 defeat to Manchester City in the fourth round.


Match preview

There will be no Liverpool reunion for Steven Gerrard on Boxing Day, but the Unai Emery era has kicked off in positive fashion, and the Lions are out to record a third win from three games under the ex-Arsenal and Villarreal boss after besting Manchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion last month.

Defeat to the Red Devils in the EFL Cup is a trivial blot on the Spaniard's notebook, but back-to-back successes in the top flight have allowed Aston Villa to surge to 12th place in the rankings - five points clear of the bottom three and just one adrift of a potential top-half place.

With Emery still getting to grips with his new crop of players, it was no surprise to see Villa engage in a total of four friendlies during the World Cup period, although they only picked up one win in that sequence - overcoming Chelsea 1-0 on home soil on December 11.

Elsewhere, the Lions played out a 2-2 draw with Brighton either side of defeats to Cardiff City and Emery's former employers Villarreal, and the Spaniard is now aiming to make history as the first-ever Aston Villa manager to win each of his first three league matches in charge.

Only two of the hosts' last nine Premier League games at Villa Park have ended in defeat, with the Lions prevailing in three of their last four top-flight fixtures on home soil, but Liverpool have already regained the taste for goals upon their return to competitive football.

Very rarely does a weekend in the Premier League go by without a few gripes about VAR from managers, but Jurgen Klopp took on a different tone and bemoaned a lack of technology as the EFL Cup champions went out of the 2022-23 tournament in the fourth round.

Fabio Carvalho and Mohamed Salah both made the net ripple for Liverpool, but their strikes were rendered inconsequential by Erling Braut Haaland, Riyad Mahrez and Nathan Ake before Klopp questioned the absence of VAR, highlighting early momentum-shifting chances where the offside flag was not raised.

While the result was a shame for Klopp and co, the neutrals enjoyed a terrific watch between two heavyweights whose vigour was unaffected by the World Cup break, but Liverpool's four-game winning run in competitive fixtures has now come to an abrupt end.

The Reds, who lost to Lyon before thumping AC Milan in the Dubai Super Cup, will spend Christmas Day in sixth place following their tumultuous start to proceedings - seven points off fourth-placed Tottenham Hotspur with a game in hand - and victory over the Lilywhites on November 6 represents their only Premier League away win from their last six attempts.

Each of Aston Villa's last four meetings with Liverpool has ended in defeat for the home side, who still have that barnstorming 7-2 win from October 2020 to boast about, but the Reds have otherwise won a club-record 15 Premier League matches at Villa Park.

Aston Villa Premier League form:


Aston Villa form (all competitions):


Liverpool Premier League form:


Liverpool form (all competitions):



Team News

The ever-controversial Emiliano Martinez recently became World Cup champion with Argentina and will not be available here, but the goalkeeper will receive a talking-to from Emery after his perpetual mocking of Kylian Mbappe in the Albiceleste celebrations.

Robin Olsen - assuming that he can overcome a minor unspecified problem - will therefore deputise for Villa, who remain without long-term absentee Diego Carlos, and Jacob Ramsey will take a couple of weeks to recover from a thigh problem.

Ex-Reds attacker Philippe Coutinho is touch and go with a thigh injury but was never likely to start against his former club, although Danny Ings's brace against Brighton will benefit his chances of lining up against his previous employers.

Similarly, Liverpool are without their own World Cup representative in France's Ibrahima Konate, who will not return to training until December 27, but Virgil van Dijk should make a timely return in the heart of defence.

On a more negative note, the injuries are piling up for Klopp once again, as James Milner (hamstring) and Roberto Firmino (calf) will miss the next couple of matches, joining Curtis Jones, Arthur, Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota on the treatment table. Trent Alexander-Arnold should be fine after illness, though.

Alisson Becker will also return in goal for EFL Cup specialist Caoimhin Kelleher, while Darwin Nunez will be given a second bite of the cherry after wasting a multitude of chances at the Etihad.

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Olsen; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; McGinn, Kamara, Luiz; Buendia, Ings, Bailey

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Nunez, Carvalho


We say: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool

Liverpool were arguably fortunate not to have been blown away in the first half against Man City, but their goal threat remains well and truly alive, even if Nunez avoided the target at the Etihad like a plague.

With second-choice goalkeeper Olsen not quite at full fitness, a Lions side who still possess the tools to hurt Liverpool could come up just short, especially with Villa Park largely being kind to the Reds since the Premier League's inception.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154
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