SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Amorebieta | 41 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Fuenlabrada | 42 | -26 | 33 |
| 22 | Alcorcon | 41 | -35 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.77%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Fuenlabrada |
| 50.17% | 28.67% | 21.16% |
| Both teams to score 38.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.89% | 66.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.34% | 84.65% |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.79% | 62.2% |
| Fuenlabrada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.49% | 47.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.13% | 82.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Fuenlabrada |
| 1-0 @ 16.77% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.2% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 3.59% 4-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 50.16% | 0-0 @ 12.77% 1-1 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.35% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.16% |
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