Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.77%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
