Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
