Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 87.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Druids had a probability of 3.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 4-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
