Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Druids had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
