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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads has a probability of 25.2% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.71%).
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
53.99% ( 6.3) | 20.8% ( -1.34) | 25.2% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 66.65% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% ( 2.63) | 31.3% ( -2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.25% ( 3.04) | 52.74% ( -3.05) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( 2.88) | 11.87% ( -2.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.82% ( 5.82) | 37.18% ( -5.83) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -1.81) | 24.37% ( 1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -2.62) | 58.77% ( 2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.8)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.47)1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.78)3-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.74)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.42)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.44)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.35)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.78) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.92) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.87)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.61)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.81)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.48)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.2% |
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