Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
49.64% (![]() | 22.63% (![]() | 27.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.02% (![]() | 37.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.76% (![]() | 60.23% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% (![]() | 15.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% (![]() | 44.54% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% (![]() | 26.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% (![]() | 61.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 10.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.74% |
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