The coaching change at Flamengo has worked out well, as this team are playing with more confidence and poise on the back end, which is why we expect they will maintain their advantage and be crowned champions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.
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