Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.11) 
