SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
69.03% ( -0.28) | 17.68% ( 0.09) | 13.29% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0.04) | 35.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.92% ( 0.04) | 58.08% ( -0.04) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% ( -0.05) | 9.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.29% ( -0.13) | 31.71% ( 0.13) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.31) | 39.16% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( 0.29) | 75.87% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 4.37% Total : 69.02% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.29% |
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