SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
59.44% ( -0.02) | 18.79% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 69.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0) | 25.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.64% ( 0.01) | 45.35% ( -0) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( -0) | 8.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.17% ( -0.01) | 29.82% ( 0.01) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.02) | 23.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( 0.02) | 57.43% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.19% 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.56% 4-3 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 4.88% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.77% |
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