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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.83% ( -0.12) | 25.04% ( -0.05) | 41.13% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 0.18) | 46.26% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.17) | 68.55% ( -0.17) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.02) | 61.5% ( -0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.16) | 22.42% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 0.24) | 55.94% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.13% |
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