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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
40.96% ( 0.42) | 28.77% ( -0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.06) | 61.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.44% ( -0.05) | 81.56% ( 0.05) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.21) | 29.63% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( 0.25) | 65.67% ( -0.25) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.34) | 36.69% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( -0.34) | 73.47% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 30.27% |
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