Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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