Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
0.55) 
-0.29) 
