SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
52.12% ( -0.13) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 24.53% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0.01) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( 0.01) | 66.45% ( -0.01) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( -0.04) | 16.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.01% ( -0.07) | 46.99% ( 0.07) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( 0.09) | 31.78% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( 0.11) | 68.21% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.53% |
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