SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35% ( -0.81) | 22.25% ( 0.05) | 42.75% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 67.83% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.46) | 32.44% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.53) | 54.08% ( 0.53) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.59) | 19.28% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( -0.98) | 51.02% ( 0.98) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( 0.11) | 15.96% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( 0.19) | 45.26% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.75% |
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