SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
70.18% ( 0.4) | 17.16% ( -0.19) | 12.66% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.97% ( 0.43) | 35.03% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.48) | 57.02% ( -0.48) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.07% ( 0.2) | 8.93% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.51% ( 0.49) | 30.49% ( -0.48) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0.02) | 39.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( -0.02) | 76.16% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.16% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.66% |
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