SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
58.82% ( 0.01) | 18.7% ( -0) | 22.47% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 71.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.01) | 23.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.46% ( 0.01) | 43.54% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( 0) | 8.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.86% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0) | 22.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0) | 55.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.7% 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.45% 6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 4.3% Total : 58.82% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.49% 3-3 @ 2.7% 0-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.63% 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 1.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.14% Total : 22.47% |
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