Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
81.08% (![]() | 11.39% (![]() | 7.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.58% (![]() | 21.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.91% (![]() | 40.09% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96% (![]() | 4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.13% (![]() | 16.87% (![]() |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% (![]() | 38.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% (![]() | 75.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
3-0 @ 8.59% (![]() 3-1 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 81.08% | 1-1 @ 4.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 11.39% | 1-2 @ 2.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 7.53% |
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