This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
Millwall	Draw	Watford
30.19% ( 0.06)	27.11% ( 0.12)	42.7% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.05% (

-0.43)

55.94% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.95% (

-0.35)

77.04% (

0.35)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.36% (

-0.17)

33.64% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.71% (

-0.19)

70.29% (

0.19)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.29)

25.92% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.39)

60.92% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Millwall 30.19%

Watford 42.7%

Draw 27.1%

Millwall	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.19%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.7%