SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
58.57% ( -0.01) | 22.41% ( 0) | 19.02% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.03) | 46.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.03) | 68.85% ( 0.02) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.01) | 15.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.46% ( -0.02) | 44.54% ( 0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% ( -0.02) | 38.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% ( -0.02) | 75.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.56% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.02% |
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