Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 4, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Gimnasia
What happened near the tail end of their Sudamericana clash on Wednesday is an indication of just how frustrating times have been for Gimnasia of late, and we have a hard time seeing them pull it all together just a few days later against the well-drilled and compact defensive unit that is Newell's.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.52%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Gimnasia |
55.55% ( -0.39) | 27.23% ( 0.2) | 17.22% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 36.51% ( -0.13) |
| 34.43% ( -0.35) | 65.57% ( 0.35) |
| 15.71% ( -0.25) | 84.29% ( 0.24) |
| 75.85% ( -0.33) | 24.15% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.54% ( -0.47) | 58.46% ( 0.47) |
| 48.13% ( 0.03) | 51.86% ( -0.04) |
